HOWTO LOSE MONEY IN THE STOCK MARKET
According to
Mark Douglas…
In any
particular trade you never really know how far prices will travel from any
given point. If you never really know where the market may stop, it is very
easy to believe there are no limits to how much you can make on any given
trade. From a psychological perspective this characteristic will allow you to indulge
yourself in the illusion that each trade has the potential of fulfilling your
wildest dream of financial independence. Based on the consistency of market
participants and their potential to act as a force great enough to move prices
in your direction, the possibility of having your dreams fulfilled may not even
remotely exist. However, if you believe it does, then you will have the
tendency to gather only the kind of market information that will confirm and
reinforce your belief, all the while denying vital information that may be
telling you the best opportunity may be in the opposite direction.
There are
several psychological factors that go into being able to assess accurately the
market’s potential for movement in any given direction. One of them is
releasing yourself from the notion that each trade has the potential to fulfill
all your dreams. At the very least this illusion will be a major obstacle
keeping you from learning how to perceive market action from an objective
perspective. Otherwise, if you continually filter market information in such a
way as to confirm this belief, learning to be
objective won’t be a concern because you probably won’t have any money left to
trade with (italics mine).
THE BEST OF JESSE LIVERMORE
On
emotions:
The
unsuccessful investor is best friends with hope, and hope skips along life’s
path hand in hand with greed when it comes to the stock market. Once a stock
trade is entered, hope springs to life. It is human nature to be positive, to
hope for the best. Hope is an important survival technique. But hope, like its
stock market cousin’s ignorance, greed, and fear, distorts reason. See the
stock market only deals in facts, in reality, in reason, and the stock market
is never wrong. Traders are wrong. Like the spinning of a roulette wheel, the
little black ball tells the final outcome, not greed, fear or hope. The result
is objective and final, with no appeal.
I believe that
uncontrolled basic emotions are the true and deadly enemy of the speculator;
that hope, fear, and greed are always present, sitting on the edge of the
psyche, waiting on the sidelines, waiting to jump into the action, plow into
the game.
Fear keeps you
from making as much money as you ought to.
On herd
behavior:
I believe that
the public wants to be led, to be instructed, to be told what to do. They want
reassurance. They will always move en masse, a mob, a herd, a group, because
people want the safety of human company. They are afraid to stand alone because
they want to be safely included within the herd, not to be the lone calf
standing on the desolate, dangerous, wolf-patrolled prairie of
contrary opinion.Speculators without a single clear plan can only act and react, act and react, to the slings and arrows of stock market misfortune, until they are defeated.
On cash:
First, do not
be invested in the market all the time. There are many times when I have been
completely in cash, especially when I was unsure of the direction of the market
and waiting for a confirmation of the next move….Second, it is the change in
the major trend that hurts most speculators.
On history:
All through
time, people have basically acted the same way in the market as a result of
greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. This is why the numerical formations and
patterns recur on a constant basis.
On rules:
I believe that
having the discipline to follow your rules is essential. Without specific,
clear, and tested rules, speculators do not have any real chance of success.
Why? Because speculators without a plan are like a general without a strategy,
and therefore without an actionable battle plan.
On being a
contrarian:
Remember, it
[the market] is designed to fool most of the people most of the time.
On being
right:
There is only
one side of the market and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the
right side…

No comments:
Post a Comment